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Archive for the ‘Nationals’ Category

For the second consecutive year, the Washington Nationals worked up to the midnight hour to sign the top overall free agent draft pick.  Bryce Harper signed a 9.9 million dollar contract and now have given the fans something to begin to get excited about in the coming years.  Somewhere over the past few seasons, the Nats have finally freed themseleves from the long time suffering franchise formerly known as the Expos , and have made some good decisions.

Well, how hard a decison is it to draft the top overall talent in the draft and sign him you say? Well, in reality they have not done anything to set them back as a franchise by signing players to any bad deals. They listened to deals for Willingham and Adam Dunn and said no thanks. They did participate as a seller in trading Matt Capps for quite a haul. Not a bad deal after obtaining him from the bargain basement bin. In the minor leagues, the franchise is giving their prospects time to develop. For example, Chris Marrero could have made the jump from AA and been promoted to AAA. Instead, the franchise is giving him the neccessary time to develop with a complete season at the current level. At the big league level, the team has been more competitive. Now,  every 5th day for the next decade or so the stadium will be packed when flamethrower Steven Strasburg takes the mound. Just wait until he gets help.

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The final rosters do not have to be finalized until Sunday afternoon, but looking at what we know today, here’s how I see it in the NL East:

Pos Mets Marlins Braves Nats Phils
C Barajas Baker McCann Rodriguez Ruiz
1B Jacobs Sanchez Glaus Dunn Howard
2B Castillo Uggla Prado Kennedy Utley
SS Cora Ramirez Escobar Desmond Rollins
3B Wright Cantu Jones Zimmerman Polanco
LF Bay Coughlin Cabrera Willingham Ibanez
CF Pagan Maybin McLouth Morgan Victorino
RF Francoeur Ross Heyward Harris Werth
OF Catalanotto Carroll Diaz Bernadina Fransisco
OF Matthews Jr.
Bonofacio Hinske Morse Gload
IF Carter Helms Infante Gonzalez Dobbs
IF Tatis Lamb Thurston Guzman Castro
C Blanco Paulino Ross Nieves Schneider
SP Santana Johnson Hudson Lannan Halladay
SP Pelfrey Nolasco Lowe Marquis Hamels
SP Maine Sanchez Jurrjens Stammen Happ
SP Perez Volstad Hanson
Hernandez Kendrick
SP Niese Robertson Kawakami Mock Moyer
RP Rodriguez Nunez Wagner Capps Madson
RP Igarashi Sanchez Moylan Olsen Baez
RP Feliciano Meyer Saito Bruney Zagurski
RP Mejia Veres Medlin Clippard Durbin
RP Calero Hensley Reyes Burnett Bastardo
RP Figueroa Pinto Chavez
Bergmann Lopez
25th Adams Barden Conrad Batista Ransom
  • Mets: Beltran, Reyes, Takahashi, Nieve, Tejada, Santos, Escobar, Murphy, Parnell, Green, Dessens, Muniz
  • Braves: Freeman, Hicks, Sammons, Boscan, Schafer, Young, Proctor, Venters, O’Flaherty
  • Marlins: Badenhop, Richar, Davis, Luna, Murphy
  • Nats: English, Martis, James, Walker, Spier, Orr, Coste, Taveras, Maxwell, McDougal, Wang, Detwiller, Duncan, Bruntlett, Flores
  • Phillies: Blanton, Lidge, Romero, Valdez, Guzman, Hoover, Brown, Wise

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The players reporting at camps today are playing second fiddle to the A-Rod press conference.  Alex meets the press and they will  be looking to drill down on the line of questioning, unlike what Gammons did.  Alex made this bed and now he has to sleep in it. Its been said that Michael Phelps was  better received in his apology, stay tuned….

The projected standings on the season are out from BP.

Its not baseball season without the Usa Today’s 100 names to know

The 2006 MVP debate continues of Pujols vs Howard at dugoutcentral. They also have rookies to watch in the NL.

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Well, I have to say I agree with Shyster about Ken Rosenthal. The baseball insider at Fox think Bonds is bad for the game, but is fine with Giambi, Roberts, et al. I wonder what his thoughts are about Brett Boone and if drinking heavily while as a player is ok? These Nats are sure taking their chances with these cast of characters.

This blog at stats.com was exactly my thinking early on about Bonds:”Signing Bonds would be an odd move after the Rays dealt both Delmon Young and Elijah Dukes over the winter. Tampa Bay left fielder Carl Crawford hasn’t been shy in saying how they were bad for the clubhouse and how he appreciates their departures.”

More in the thread why John Heyman should be stopped thread version 12.

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In a revealing piece over at ESPN, Carl Crawford is sure glad 2007 is behind us. In 2008 the Rays are actually making some baseball related moves:

“With all the B.S. that was going on last year, I think we lost focus on the task at hand.”

Crawford refers to the ongoing soap opera that featured Elijah Dukes and Delmon Young. Both of the enormously talented players couldn’t stay out of trouble; Dukes with his off-field issues, and Young with his me-first attitude that resulted in him at first walking out on manager Joe Maddon on the second-to-last day of the 2007 regular season. Crawford calls last season a year “he never wants to remember,” and the distractions, at times, were almost unbearable.

Btw, seems he will not be sending birthday cards for Bad Boys Delmon Young and Eijah Dukes.

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It’s preview season at Beyond the Boxscore and people are taking notice . I had the opportunity to ask R.J. Anderson, Columnist at Beyond the Boxscore and DRaysBay a bunch of questions. Anderson has also appeared at Deadspin and just completed a book on the Tampa Rays called Lamar-itis.

With the loss of 40 year old Tom Glavine to Braves, how much of an impact to the Mets pitching staff of the Mets be affected? To what extent will this help or hurt the Braves in the N.L. East?

It won’t hurt or help either team as much as his name would suggest, last year he was below average and I’m not sure I really can see him responding like he did in 2004 with a 119 ERA+, but who knows, maybe he has one last run in that left arm. It certainly can’t hurt the Braves to have him as their third starter at least it’s not someone like Mark Hendrickson.

The Mets are rumored to be considering surrendering a ton of minor league minor league talent to the Twins to land Johan Santanta. The package of Fernando Martinez , Philip Humber , Carlos Gomez, Kevin Mulvey, and Mike Pelfrey to land the Ace of its staff. Would you make this deal to win now?

No, the deal reeks of short-sightedness and frankly I don’t trust either Omar Minaya’s prospect valuing skills or the idea that Johan will simply re-sign with the Mets without at least fishing on the open market for a few days. Do I think the Mets will end up with Johan? Wouldn’t surprise me, this is the same general manager who went for a “win now” approach with the Expos and Bartolo Colon, how’d that end up?

Chipper Jones has been a household name for the past decade for Braves. Would you consider him a Hall of fame player. Is he worthy of a gold glove at this point of his career?

I really don’t get into either the Hall of Fame or Gold Glove arguments since both are pretty arbitrary, but at first glance I’d assume he’s pretty close to being a HOFer, I’m not sure if he is or not though.

The Royals have made a alot of moves the past few years. How do you see the moves working out this upcoming season?

Dayton Moore has done a solid job, but I didn’t really like the Jose Guillen signing, it seemed like he was their third choice – at best – and they decided to write a large paycheck to get their “man”. I’d like to see them finish in front of the White Sox, but even that might be a bit of challenge.

How much of an impact offensively will Mike Cameron be aided by his move to the Brewers ?

I’m not sure how much it’ll help him with his bat – although moving from PETCO elsewhere can’t hurt. If nothing else it gave the Brewers a reason to move Ryan Braun to left.

The Mets obtaining a defensive minded catcher Brian Schneider and Ryan Church for youngster Lastings Milledge, how sweet of a trade was this for an up and coming team like Nationals?

Very sweet in a vacuum; the market for “troubled” young outfielders is non-existent and the Nats took advantage in both the Milledge and Elijah Dukes deals. If neither work out people will mock the Nationals, personally I don’t blame them for either deal, consider they essentially acquired two players who would be top prospects in their organization for a top 10 in their system and two major league players who I don’t think they’ll miss too much given their glutton of outfielders.

Is Rockies Chris Iannetta worthy of playing time in Colorado or should Torrealba be given most the work at catcher?

I think they should give Iannetta more playing time, it’s not like he could do much worse than Yorvit Torrealba did with the bat last year.

Tell me about Michael Bourn and what he may be able to do now that he gets a starting job in Houston . Is he Juan Pierre II?

He’s a young lefty bat who went to the University of Houston and was actually drafted by the Astros in 2000 but didn’t sign. I suppose he’s Juan Pierre like, and I don’t doubt he’ll produce better than Willy Taveras as soon as next year.

Who got the better end of the Troy Glaus / Scott Rolen Trade?

I think the Cardinals, Glaus is younger, lately a little more consistent, and not nearly as volatile. He has his own issues, but at least he’s not gun powder waiting for a spark.

Is Josh Hamilton going to stay healthy and break out this year?

Didn’t he break out last year? Health wise I have no idea, two seasons in a row ended by injuries, eh it’s a trend that can be broken at least.

When Dan Haren was last in the NL, he was not special the way he is today. Why was he successful in Oakland and not under LaRussa?

Well he barely had over 100 innings in St. Louis , and remember Oakland ’s ballpark dimensions include a ton of foul room, there probably isn’t a correlation between Haren’s success and his departure from St. Louis.

Tell me about Brian Barton who came to St. Louis in Rule V draft. Was he the best talent made available in the Rule V draft?

He’s a rocket scientist, seriously. I’d like to think he wasn’t the best talent in the draft because he slipped and I’d like to believe the teams picking would’ve taken the best talent. Speaking of the Rule V isn’t it a bit amusing that the purpose is to prevent farm system monopolies yet in theory the teams with the highest potential to have a good farm system – bad teams with high draft picks – are the ones who pick first?

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Just like the beer drinking game Anchor man :

Teammates of the anchorman must drink first and decide how much they leave for the anchor man.

Austin Kearns of the Washinton Nationals had a poor season for most of 2007 with his bat, but made one huge last gulp the last few months avoiding a total embarrassing season.

He was in a huge funk where he had no homers whatsoever for the month of June, and headed into August with a humbling sum of 7 home runs on the year. But, something clicked.

I looked over his stats using the B-R Play Index to see if something stood out. Well, he hit most his homers off fly ball pitchers. He was a Mets Killer. Hitting 33% of his home runs off the team from Flushing. One thing that was interesting is when the game was on the line, thats when he did his best. He performed well with runners in scoring position and when the game was within 1 out. I guess with the Nats at bottom of the division in the NL East, the game is not always on the line. His problem was that as a power hitter, he hits a alarming amount of ground balls.  That results in his SLG percentage issues.  In fact, his slugging career wise is under .500 . Playing in a pitchers park does not help matters.  What his numbers do tell you is that he is somewhat clutch, and with some concentration, he might bust out this upcoming year.

Kearns OPS-PrOPS (predicted OPS) says he was cranking the ball better than his number showed. Meaning, he underperformed and may be in store for a rebound.

Tape Measure Blasts

Kotsay & Kotsay headed East

James Click is Rays Stats Guy

Top Rookie Hitters and Pitchers of 2007  In Review

Fantasy Stats Services 

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The trade of OF Austin Kearns, and SS Felipe Lopez for a couple of so-so relievers, a prospect, and a SS rental will be scrutinized from here to eternity. I thought it was an internet hoax at the time, but I guess sometimes you have to go for it, and realize the future payroll that comes off the books in evaluating those trades:

In turn, the rookie contributions of Mr. Hamilton have come at a substantial savings when compared to the $17.5 million that Mr. Kearns will be paid over the next three years. Those savings have become available to the franchise for the purchase of such players as Mr. Jeff Conine and Mr. Mike Stanton, or, perhaps, have been put toward the contract extensions of Mr. Bronson Arroyo and Mr. Aaron Harang.

Wayne Krivsky is a GM with some clout. I guess its easier to turn the page on these questionable trades if you show you are going for it. An organization as a whole signs off on these deals. So, even if you trade a Scott Kazmir away, you can’t fire everyone. In this case of Rays just like the Nats, when the players involved are playing for a floundering franchise for a long time, it sure takes some of the heat off.

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In 2006, the National league proved to be a good place for some players to get their first legitimate chance at Major League Ball. Take Matt Diaz, the former Devil Ray who killed AAA pitching at Durham a few years back. He finally got his opportunity at the show, and proved he will be sticking around for a while. Russ Martin was only supposed to be filling in for an injured player. He went on to steal the starting job which allowed the Dodgers to trade their other catching prospect to the Rays. Uggla, the Rule V pick by Marlins was well worth the roster spot and he proved to be one of the best stories of the year. Stephen Drew has been lighting it up with his bat in minors ever since he signed. He proved to be as good as advetised. Lastly, Ryan Zimmerman who got a cup of coffee after signing following the 2005 college season. With a full year of at bats, he showed he has an all around game that reminds alot of people of David Wright with bat and the stolen bases,

RC – measure of the number of runs a batter truly contributed to his team’s offense.

VORP – value over replacemnt player that is adjusted by position.

EQA – A measure of total offensive value per out.

MLV – an estimate of the additional number of runs a given player will contribute to a lineup that otherwise consists of average offensive performers. MLVr is approximately equal to MLV per game. a psoitive number indicates above average.

OPS – On base average plus slugging percentage

Home Runs Percentage – Home run per at bats multiplied by 100

Name RC VORP MLVR EQA OPS HR%
Russ Martin 62 18.5 .062 .274 .791 2.41%
Stephen Drew 29 18.1 .191 .266 .874 2.39%
Dan Uggla 104 39.1 .115 .281 .819 4.41%
Ryan Zimmerman 107 26.9 .123 .283 .822 3.26%
Matt Diaz 39 16.1 .181 .283 .839 2.36%

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Every season as the year approaches we look forward to the players on the rise from the minors league ranks who could have an impact. Sometimes, the experts get it right on the top Rookies and sometimes a player come out of nowhere to surprise.

For example, take the case of Jason Bay. Not a heralded prospect by any means. He started his career out with the defunct Montreal Expos, gets traded in a variety of deal as a throw in to the Mets, and then to the Padres. It wasn’t until 2003 he started tearing the cover off the ball. It was then shortly after his major league debut with Padres, he goes down with a broken bone after being beamed at the plate. Shortly after he is healthy again, he is part of a blockbuster deal as a relative unproven commodity to Pirates for Brian Giles. Its the case of one player who showed signs of being a good player, but somehow stayed off the radar.

Its a rare case. For the most part, the minor league excellance does translate to success in the Majors. With that in mind, I point you to the people who keep up with the top minor league talent for 2007:

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