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Archive for the ‘Projections’ Category

Marcel (the monkey): the most basic forecasting system you can have, that uses as little intelligence as possible. 2008 Marcel Batting 2008 Marcel (FanGraphs) 2008 Marcel Pitching Chone Smith : Chone 2008 2008 Chone (FanGraphs) Jeff Sackman: Miner Projections ZIPS 2008 Replacement Level Yankee Blog: Cairo 2008 Roto Authority Projections 2008 Sweet Lou Baseball Lab [...]

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It was in 2005 I was approached by Sports Blogs to start a blog on Rays called Drays Bay. This month marks the third anniversary of the blog. Even though I blog there on rare occasions, I want to recognize that the site has really evolved to more than just a blog, but a vibrant [...]

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A few weeks ago we were wondering about Mattingly’s wife and what happened ? The Daily News has a story and pictures about Mattingly’s life, and Donnie’s current unfortunate situation. My first memory of Mattingly was the summer of 1983, when both Don and Steve Balboni were getting a shot at the first base job [...]

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The Chone and Marcel projections for 2008 can now be found at Baseball Graphs in sortable format. The good folks at Many Eyes are “passionate about the potential of data visualization”. I took the Chone data for 2008 and applied their data visualization interfaces. For the pitching projections, I applied the Scatter Plot : “ [...]

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I got that awful message in my Gmail account yesterday. YOUR BASEBALL PROSPECTUS ACCOUNT EXPIRES IN 1 DAY Everybody knows of baseball prospectus, but what about those other hidden gems of paid services of baseball information. John Benson on Baseball – no relation to Anna or Kris, has a web site JohnBenson.com On the site, [...]

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The Hammer moves to the American league in 2008. Its more of a pitcher friendly park in Arlington Texas than what he experienced with the Reds. He is being called a top undervalued pick by David Luicani : We’re projecting a huge year for Hamilton, much more than we would have expected just a year [...]

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Its Sunday and the Superbowl is a few hours away. Everyone is getting their Superbowl munchies togther getting a good seat on the coach expecting to see the Tom Brady to Randy Moss Show. The record setting hookup combo have the Patriots in position to achieve to one of the most impressive feats in sports [...]

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With pitchers and catchers reporting in about 10 days, it’s also the start of projection season. Nate Silver and the team at Baseball Prospectus unveil the PECOTA projections (for BP subscribers). The name of the projection spelled out is Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm that boils down to the last name of Bill [...]

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The year was 2003. Lou Piniella was starting his job as the skipper of the Tampa Bay “Devil” Rays. He took two youngsters in Carl Crawford and Rocco Baldelli and made them starters on his club. The thing about Rocco and Carl is that they never really had the On Base Skills, but never the [...]

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This is not the Class of 96, nor is this an episode of Freaks and Geeks. We hope the players on this list will have a longer shelf life than those short lived but well known television series. Every year we talk about potential and prospecting as far as who will be the breakout player [...]

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